A solo bitcoin miner, with a computing power of approximately 230 terahashes per second, recently validated block 943.411 and collected 3,139 thereby. BTC, valued at around $210,000. Remarkably, this mining company makes such a small contribution to the total network power that it is often rounded down on most dashboards. The miner was connected to solo.ckpool.org, an anonymous solo mining pool introduced in 2014 that allows operators to keep their full block rewards, minus a 2% fee. Con Kolivas, the developer of CKpool, confirmed the success via social media and noted that the miner's chance of finding a block on a given day was approximately 1 in 28.000.
With 230 terahashes, the winning setup represents only about 0,00002% of the total estimated hashrate of Bitcoin, which hovered around 1 zetahash per second in early April. This level of performance is more in line with a limited collection of in-house ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) than with a large-scale industrial operation or a rented cloud solution. By comparison, the publicly traded mining company Riot Platforms alone has more than 30 exahashes, which is approximately 130,000 times the hashrate of this successful miner.
This victory marks the 312th solo win recorded on CKpool since its inception and is the first since February 28, breaking a 33-day drought. Over the past 12 months, solo pools have found only 20 bitcoin blocks, accounting for a total distribution of 62,96 BTC. This amounts to an average of one solo block every 18,7 days, with the longest break lasting as long as 58 days. What makes these figures particularly interesting is that they reveal a pattern that repeats with remarkable regularity during this cycle.
In December, for example, a miner with approximately 270 TH/s managed to break a 1 in 30.000 chance to claim a reward of $284,633. In November, a miner with an output of only 6 TH/s—the capacity of a single older model ASIC that would normally not be expected to find a block in hundreds of years—achieved an even more breathtaking 1 in 180 million chance for a reward of approximately $265,000. And in February, a miner using about $75 worth of rented cloud computing capacity converted this into a reward of $200,000 by linking just 1 petahash to CKpool for a few hours.
How significant is this solo mining victory for the market?
The victory demonstrates the unpredictability and opportunities within the Bitcoin mining sector. Although the chance of success is extremely small, it can result in significant returns for those who dare to mine solo.
What does the long drought period say about solo mining?
The longer periods without wins indicate increasing competition and the concentration of computing power within larger mining pools. It suggests that solo mining is becoming increasingly challenging while network power continues to increase.
Can small miners compete with industrial players?
Although small miners like this winning party can sporadically achieve success, the constant pressure from major players, such as Riot Platforms, which have much higher hashrates, is undeniable. It is a game that requires many strategic and financial considerations.