It seems that platinum is slowly coming back onto the radar of investors. After 17 years of fluctuations and disappointments, chances are that many investors have not yet caught up with this precious metal or are fed up with it. But that is exactly where the magic of platinum lies. market often plays out. This week we have already seen that a small spark of interest can cause prices to rise. And now there are tentative developments on the horizon.
As of today, we have a new research report on the platinum market in our hands. The outcome? South Africa’s mining infrastructure, which accounts for over 70% of global platinum production, has suffered from poor financing and maintenance for years. This has significantly hampered production. We’ll dive deeper into these findings next week, but the bottom line is clear: limited supply could be the foundation for a new and long-term platinum bull market.
Imagine if the supply were to stagnate, wouldn’t you want to be sure of real physical platinum? A smart question. You might think of paper platinum or trackers, but let’s take a look at what’s happening in the US right now. Then you’ll understand why physical is the only sure option.
In recent months, platinum has been making a stormy entrance into the US, just as gold and silver. This metal has ended up in the vaults of New York, where now a whopping 268.533,76 ounces of platinum are in the registered category, that is, available for delivery against futures contracts on the NYMEX. This stock has now fallen by more than 15.000 ounces in just one week and on Tuesday (21/05) 5,5% of this stock disappeared in one go. That is significant!
In parallel, there are 83.109 platinum contracts running on the NYMEX, representing an underlying quantity of 50 ounces of platinum each. This means that those 268.533 ounces of “real” physical platinum must support a paper position of no less than 4,16 million ounces. In other words, we are talking about a paper-to-physical ratio of more than 15:1. For every 15 speculators with a platinum futures contract, there is enough physical metal available to supply just one of them. If global supplies continue to dwindle, do you really want to be dependent on paper platinum?
Consider the current situation: US speculators have claims on 4,16 million ounces of platinum, while global supplies are not as robust as they once were! Although we cannot predict how platinum prices will develop, it is time for a new bull market. “The future of platinum starts now!”
Why is physical platinum more important than paper versions?
Physical platinum offers certainty and tangible value, especially in times of scarcity. Paper versions do not guarantee that there is enough metal available for delivery.
What happens if there is a sudden demand for platinum?
If there is a run on physical platinum, the current scarcity could lead to huge price increases. Investing in physical metal is then crucial.