November 13 2025
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Defi needs certainty, not higher returns

DeFi Needs Certainty, Not Higher Returns

Reading time: 4 minutes

In the world of decentralized finance (DeFi), there seems to be an expectation that institutional adoption will be driven primarily by attractive, high-yield opportunities. However, the reality tells us that the broader public values ​​consistency and reliability above all else. DeFi has opened the doors to ordinary people, providing access to financial tools previously reserved exclusively for institutions. This was a significant advancement; the ability to invest money globally in open markets offers enormous opportunities. But the same openness that made this possible came with a downside. Decentralization offered freedom, but also introduced a degree of unpredictability.

Now is the time to bridge that gap. The next phase of DeFi is about building systems that are as consistent as the applications we use every day. When crypto If it becomes as reliable as the Web2 applications we rely on, it will encourage entire sectors to migrate on-chain (on the blockchain). This is essential to truly welcome the next billion users.

The illusion of returns

DeFi has always thrived on returns, which has been the allure that has drawn millions of people for years. The idea that your assets can generate returns for hours without active intervention has proven powerful and certainly effective. However, returns are only valuable if the foundation upon which they rest is stable. When execution is unpredictable, the numbers on the screen are merely an illusion.

While private investors may ignore this, the world we want to onboard will not ignore it. Institutions, funds, and companies value precision; they will not build on an unreliable foundation. The final link is developing crypto apps that are as consistent and predictable as the Web2 applications we use every day. In 2020, mass DeFi adoption was predicted between 2023 and 2025, but now that we are on the threshold of 2025, it's clear that we are only marginally closer to this goal. As crypto gradually becomes more important within the broader financial arena, we must truly acknowledge the risks that make institutions fearful.

Admittedly, DeFi has grown, and yields are attracting the attention of everyday investors. However, we can't expect institutions to embrace the promise of 5% returns that comes with the potential for systemic instability. As decentralized markets evolve and strive for institutional-grade systems, reliability, predictability, and determinism (the guarantee that transactions are executed in a fixed manner) will define the next wave of DeFi.

What's holding DeFi back?

Take for example Solana, which is currently fast, consistent, and constantly improving. Most users rarely experience any problems anymore. But once you're operating at the institutional level, executing automated liquidation strategies or processing thousands of trades per minute, "almost" isn't good enough. For a hedge fund or an exchange, a single failed trade can disrupt an entire day's reporting or shift risk across millions of dollars. Retail users now trust Solana. It's the institutions' turn. They need certainty. They need to be sure that when they press "execute," it happens immediately and exactly as intended.

Reliability is what transforms crypto from an experiment into a full-fledged economy. Institutions won't be attracted without that reliability. Of course, institutional players are interested in returns of 5%, 10%, or even 20% APY (annualized yield), but they value 100% reliability even more. Funds, exchanges, and banks manage billions in assets and are subject to oversight by customers, governments, and the global financial sector if something goes wrong. Why risk your reputation with systems that have proven themselves fallible in the past? Institutions that want to work with DeFi need precision, execution guarantees, and predictable latency. Speculative returns aren't so important when you're trying to capture a significant amount of global GDP on-chain.

The shift to determinism

More than speed, certainty is crucial. Deterministic execution means knowing exactly when your transaction will be processed and how it will behave once completed. This levels the playing field and offers everyone, from traders to institutions, the same level of confidence they expect from traditional systems. The missing link for large-scale DeFi adoption is no longer speculative incentives for hopeful investors, but reliability that holds up under pressure. When networks can guarantee inclusion and precision, and when validators are rewarded for their uptime instead of speculation, DeFi stops being a gamble and starts becoming the foundational infrastructure.

From yield wars to infrastructure wars

DeFi has gone through cycles. First came yield farming, followed by scaling, protocol-based liquidity, and now real-world assets (physical assets). Each wave brought innovation and capital, but none fully opened the door for institutions. The next cycle will. The new era of DeFi will no longer be about chasing APY, but about who can deliver predictable results at internet speed. The winners will be those who can make DeFi boring in the most positive way: stable, fast, and accurate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the key factors driving institutional adoption of DeFi?
Reliability, consistency, and predictability are crucial. Institutions require systems that guarantee that their transactions are executed securely and accurately, now and in the future.

How can DeFi platforms improve their systems?
Platforms should focus on ensuring deterministic execution, so that all users know when their trades will be processed and what to expect, regardless of market conditions.

Why is determinism so important for DeFi?
Determinism creates a level playing field, provides users with reliable trust, and prevents unnecessary risks that can arise from a lack of precision in transaction processing.

 

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