The discussion within the Bitcoin (BTCThe community is currently flaring up strongly around the possibility that the Iranian government would accept BTC for toll payments by oil tankers passing through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. This sea canal plays a crucial role in the global oil supply, with approximately 20% of total oil production transported through it.
These reactions were prompted by a report in the Financial Times stating that Iran is considering accepting BTC for these toll payments as a means of circumventing United States sanctions. However, since the publication, various conflicting reports have emerged suggesting that payment might have to be made in stablecoins or Chinese yuan, according to Alex Thorn, Head of Research at crypto investment firm Galaxy.
Justin Bechler, a BTC advocate, points out that stablecoins are susceptible to freezing by the issuer. He cites the compliance measures introduced in the GENIUS stablecoin regulatory framework as reasons why the Iranian government would not want to accept toll payments in stablecoins pegged to the US dollar. According to him, stablecoins such as USDT and USDC have built-in blacklist functions at the contract level. Once an address is flagged, the issuer can freeze the tokens, which completely impacts liquidity. Enforcement of the legislation depends entirely on compliance by the issuers.
Where Bitcoin has no issuer, no compliance officer to exert pressure on, and no freezing function, Iran's choice of Bitcoin follows directly from this structural reality, according to Bechler. The potential for the Iranian government to accept BTC for payment by oil tankers would significantly strengthen Bitcoin's credibility as a neutral payment layer for international transactions.
Thorn estimates that every oil tanker must pay between $200.000 and $2 million in tolls to sail through the Strait of Hormuz. A spokesperson for the Iranian Union of Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Exporters indicated that ships will be given 'a few seconds' to complete the payment in BTC. This suggests that the payment will take place via the Lightning Network, a so-called layer-2 payment solution for BTC that makes it possible to send transactions in a few seconds, instead of waiting for the average block confirmation of ten minutes.
However, at this moment, the largest known transaction over the Lightning Network has been only $1 million, according to Thorn. It is more likely that the Iranian authorities will provide a QR code or an alphanumeric Bitcoin address to the ships after approval of their requests to sail through the Strait of Hormuz.
How could Iran's acceptance of BTC affect the crypto market?
Iran's acceptance of BTC could have significant implications for the global adoption of Bitcoin. It draws attention to Bitcoin as a potential alternative to traditional fiat payments and highlights the possibility of uncontrolled transactions in geopolitically challenging situations.
What are the risks for investors regarding this development?
For investors, there may be risks associated with the volatility of BTC, especially if this development leads to speculative transactions. Additionally, there is always the risk that geopolitical tensions will affect the value of crypto assets.
What does this mean for the future of stablecoins?
This situation could lead to greater questions regarding the role of stablecoins in international payments. If governments switch to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin to avoid regulation, stablecoins could come under pressure if preference is given to the decentralization and independence of Bitcoin.
